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NHS in Scotland 2016

Key messages

1 Over the last decade, there have been improvements in the way health services are delivered and reductions in the time that patients need to wait for hospital inpatient treatment. There have also been improvements in overall health, life expectancy, patient safety and survival rates for a number of conditions, such as heart disease. At the same time, demands on health and social care services have been increasing because of demographic changes. People are living longer with multiple long-term conditions and increasingly complex needs.

2 NHS funding is not keeping pace with increasing demand and the needs of an ageing population. NHS boards are facing an extremely challenging financial position and many had to use short-term measures to break even. NHS boards are facing increasing costs each year, for example drug costs increased by ten per cent, allowing for inflation, between 2012/13 and 2014/15. NHS boards will need to make unprecedented levels of savings in 2016/17 and there is a risk that some will not be able to achieve financial balance.

3 Despite the significant financial challenges facing NHS boards, there have been improvements in some areas, for example in reducing the overall number of bed days from delayed discharges. However, boards are struggling to meet the majority of key national standards and the balance of care, in terms of spending, is still not changing. It is difficult balancing the demand for hospital care, alongside providing more care in the community. Boards need to ensure they maintain high-quality hospitals, while investing in more community-based facilities.

4 The NHS workforce is ageing and difficulties continue in recruiting and retaining staff in some geographical and specialty areas. Workforce planning is lacking for new models of care to deliver more communitybased services. There is uncertainty about what these models will look like and the numbers and skills of the workforce required. NHS boards’ spending on temporary staff is increasing and this is putting pressure on budgets.

5 The NHS is going through a period of major reform. A number of wideranging strategies propose significant change, including the National Clinical Strategy, integration of health and social care services and a new GP contract. These need to be underpinned by a clear plan for change. Some progress is being made in developing new models of care, but this has yet to translate to widespread change in local areas and major health inequalities remain.